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Politics Among the Europeans

A new Observer polls confirms what we expected: given the chance in a referendum, the electorate of the UK would like to exit the European Union. Some 56 percent of all voters favor disassociation. Among Conservatives, it is 68 percent. Given the Ukip (independence party) threat to the Tories, Prime Minister David Cameron cannot ignore such numbers.

The arguments against such an exit are well-rehearsed, and they will get a very long run in the British media before a referendum actually happens. There might even be two referenda, one giving the EU a set of demands, and the second, deciding whether what Brussels offers in reply is enough.

Ed Miliband, the Labour leader, is still opposed to leaving the EU, but his calls for reforms makes it evident that all the parties are softening in their support of the current arrangements.

You can email brucechapman@discovery.org

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